An expert said: “It is impossible in God’s land.”
Texas-Texas Governor Greg Abbott said on Fox News yesterday that his state may be “very close” to herd immunity, which is overly optimistic. At this point, many people have been vaccinated or immunized against Covid-19. Has been infected before, and the virus can no longer spread.
Abbott said: “For example, from the perspective of the elderly population, more than 70% of our elderly have been vaccinated, and more than 50% of the elderly between the ages of 50 and 65 have been vaccinated.” Republican, Gram Reese Wallace. Wallace once asked, although Texas has reopened many events and cancelled the requirement for masks, why the statewide infection, hospitalization and death rate are more controlled than in other states.
The governor added: “I don’t know what herd immunity is, but when you add it to a person with immunity, it looks likely to be very close to herd immunity.”
Epidemiologist Michael Osterholm, director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Policy and Research, said: “In God’s land, Texas is not even close to the immune system of cattle. the way.”
He added: “Michigan and Minnesota have much higher vaccination rates than Texas. And we have seen widespread transmission.”
Approximately 19% of people in Texas received the full vaccination, compared with 22% in Michigan and 24% in Minnesota.
Since the beginning of the pandemic, estimates of the ability to obtain herd immunity have increased, from requiring 60% of the population to be immunized to more than 90% of the population stopping transmission.
Osterholm said that no one knows what the level should be. “Anyone who can tell you exactly the level of immunity in your herd wants to sell you a bridge.”
He predicted that in Texas and other parts of the southern and western United States, the number of cases will increase within a few weeks to a month, and their situation in the Midwest and Northeast has now increased.
An important factor in the relentless spread of the coronavirus is the increasing proportion of cases caused by the virus variant (known as B.1.1.7) first discovered in the UK, which is more infectious than the form of the virus from which it originated. .
Osterholm said this variant “will surely reset the meter” and make it more difficult to achieve immunity for the herd. Other variations may further complicate the prognosis.
He said: “These variants can change the rules of the game.” “They really change everything.”